Royal Caribbean Group boosts 2025 outlook with strong Q1 results
FinanceRoyal Caribbean Group reported a robust first quarter in 2025, with Earnings per Share (EPS) of USD 2.70 and Adjusted EPS of USD 2.71, surpassing guidance due to strong pricing and lower costs. The company raised its full-year Adjusted EPS forecast to USD 14.55–USD 15.55, driven by better-than-expected revenue, favourable currency exchange rates, and reduced fuel costs. Total revenues reached USD 4.0 billion, with Net Income and Adjusted Net Income at USD 0.7 billion. The company achieved a 109% load factor, served 2.2 million guests, and saw a 13.9% increase in Gross Margin Yields. Record bookings and strong demand continue to support growth, with capacity expected to rise 5.5% for the year.
First Quarter 2025 Performance:
- Financials: Royal Caribbean Group reported Q1 EPS of USD 2.70 and Adjusted EPS of USD 2.71, exceeding expectations due to strong pricing on close-in demand and lower costs. Total revenues were USD 4.0 billion, with Net Income and Adjusted Net Income at USD 0.7 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA at USD 1.4 billion.
- Operational Metrics: The load factor was 109%, with 2.2 million guests served (9% year-over-year increase). Gross Margin Yields rose 13.9%, and Net Yields increased 4.7% as-reported (5.6% in Constant Currency). Gross Cruise Costs per Available Passenger Cruise Day (APCD) fell 1.1%, and Net Cruise Costs (NCC), excluding fuel, decreased 0.3% as-reported.
- Bookings: Record bookings were achieved during the WAVE season, with April bookings surpassing the prior year. Booked load factors remained strong at higher rates, and onboard and pre-cruise spending exceeded previous years.
Full Year 2025 Outlook:
- Earnings: Adjusted EPS is projected to grow 28% year-over-year to USD 14.55–USD 15.55.
- Yields and Costs: Net Yields are expected to increase 2.5%–4.5% as-reported (2.6%–4.6% in Constant Currency). NCC, excluding fuel, per APCD, is forecasted to rise 0.1%–1.1% as-reported.
- Capacity: A 5.5% capacity increase is anticipated, driven by new ships like Star of the Seas and Celebrity Xcel, alongside the Royal Beach Club Paradise Island opening.
Second Quarter 2025 Guidance:
- Capacity and Yields: Capacity is expected to grow 6%, with Net Yields rising 4.4%–4.9% as-reported. NCC, excluding fuel, per APCD, is projected to increase 4.1%–4.6%.
- Earnings: Adjusted EPS is forecasted at USD 4.00–USD 4.10.
- Fuel Costs: Fuel expenses are estimated at USD 286 million, with 59% of consumption hedged.
Financial Position and Capital Allocation:
- Liquidity stood at USD 4.5 billion as of 31 March 2025. The company was upgraded to investment grade by S&P Global Ratings, reflecting its strong financial position.
- Debt management included exchanging USD 213 million of 6.00% Convertible Senior Notes for 3.3 million shares and USD 214 million in cash, reducing diluted shares by 1.0 million. Additionally, 1.0 million shares were repurchased.
- Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected at USD 5 billion, primarily for new ships and land-based destinations.
Future Growth:
- The company is focused on delivering exceptional holiday experiences, optimising revenue, and managing costs while investing in new ships and destinations. Capacity is expected to grow 6%, 5%, and 6% in 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively.
Full report https://www.rclinvestor.com/press-releases/release/?id=1757
© Shippax
May 01 2025
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